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Feb

3 Reasons Why the Rally Was Suspicious

Posted by Kathy Lien  Published in 2009 british pound forecast, Australian Dollar, British Pound, Forex Technicals, aud/usd, forex blog, usd/jpy
The currency and equity markets are turning lower after a strong rally on Tuesday. In my Daily Currency Focus, I talked about the 3 reasons why the currency market rally was suspicious. None of the reasons for Tuesday’s jump delivered real solutions. The market only rallied because Bernanke delivered no surprises. President [...]
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2

Feb

Australia Rate Decision - RBA Has 3 Choices

Posted by Kathy Lien  Published in Australian Dollar, Reserve Bank of Australia, forex blog
Compared to other G10 nations, the slowdown in the Australia’s economy has not been as deep. Of the eight major central banks, Australia currently has the highest interest rate. This evening, the RBA will be faced with the tough decision of cutting interest rates once again. The market is currently looking at [...]
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29

Jan

Swiss Franc in Spotlight

Posted by Adam Kritzer  Published in Australian Dollar, Economic Indicators, Major Currencies

The Swiss Franc is in the same boat as the US Dollar and Japanese Yen, benefiting from an increase in risk aversion and an unwinding of carry trade positions. In other words, the currency rising on the back of the sound monetary policy of the National Bank of Switzerland, with its low rate of inflation and proportionately low interest rate. Despite the fact that the Swiss economy is poised to contract in 2009, its economy is in better shape than its rivals, and its current account balance is still in surplus. As a result, the consensus among analysts is that investors will continue to flock to the Franc, as Switzerland is sill perceived as a relatively low-risk place to invest. Especially compared to the Euro, which has risen against the Dollar of late, the Swiss Franc remains undervalued. Bloomberg News reports:

Investors are drawn to the franc in times of international tension and economic upheaval because of the country’s history of neutrality and political stability.

Read More: There's Nothing Swiss Can Do to Stop Franc's Rise

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14

Jan

Kathy Lien’s Interview on Australian Dollar

Posted by Kathy Lien  Published in Australian Dollar, Euro, Federal Reserve, Forex News, Forex Podcast, Forex TV, New Zealand dollar
Last night, I was on Sky News Australia talking about a variety of things ranging from the Federal Reserve’s policy action, China, the US dollar, the Euro, the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Here’s the interview: I also talked to Chip Hanlon of Greenfaucet.com about my new book, Day Trading and Swing Trading the Currency Market - [...]
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10

Jan

NZD, AUD Down in 2009?

Posted by Adam Kritzer  Published in Australian Dollar, Economic Indicators

While the Australian Dollar and New Zealand Kiwi technically started 2009 in the black, most analysts believe that both currencies will continue their record declines that began in 2008. All economic indicators continue to point downward, due to the adverse conditions created by the worldwide recession. The economies of Australia and New Zealand are extremely dependent on exports of raw materials and dairy products, respectively. Unfortunately, due to a contraction in demand and a decline in speculation, the prices for both types of commodities appears unlikely to erase even a fraction of the losses suffered last year. The death blow into the heart of both currencies will likely be delivered by their respective Central Banks, which are expected to make additional interest rate cuts. This will further erode the rate differential with the US/Japan, that previously signaled the currencies as attractive investments. Bloomberg News reports:

The average forecast is for the currency [AUD] to reach a low of 62 cents in the first quarter before recovering to 66 cents by the end of 2009. New Zealand’s dollar...will bottom at 52 U.S. cents in the second quarter and recover to 55 cents by the end of the year...


Read More: Australian, New Zealand Dollars Complete Worst Year on Record

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